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What is a long-range forecast?
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What is a long-range forecast?

First posted August 23, 2020

Deterministic Weather Forecasting

In 2020, the global energy industry depends on high-quality weather forecasts for critical decision making like never before. Over recent decades the application of these forecasts has expanded exponentially due to the rapid growth of renewable energy and the liberalization of energy markets.

Short-range forecasts are now an essential tool in the real-time management of wind and solar assets, whilst medium-range forecasts play a crucial role in daily hedging activity. Even though modern computing power has brought huge improvements to forecast accuracy, there remains an inconvenient truth at the heart of traditional weather forecasting: there is still very little deterministic skill in the long term, generally considered a forecast beyond 12 days ahead. Enter the long-range forecast.

- click the link below to read the detailed / illustrated blog.

Dr. Jan Dutton - CEO, Prescient Weather Ltd

Dr. Jan Dutton

Dr. Jan Dutton

CEO, Prescient Weather Ltd

Jan is the CEO of Prescient Weather Ltd. and ClimBiz Ltd. His career spans positions at Weather Ventures, Earth Networks, Storm Exchange, Schneider Electric, and DTN. Dr. Dutton’s career objective is to enable business decision making based on weather and climate information.

He received a dual degree B.A. in Physics and Science and Technology Studies from Colby College in Waterville, ME in 1994. He received a Ph.D. from the Penn State Department of Meteorology in 2000. He also received an MBA from the Smeal College Business at Penn State in 2000. His dissertation focused on the simulation of interannual climate variability using regional climate models.

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