Content Hub

What is a long-range forecast?
Hover over image to zoom
or click to view full size

What is a long-range forecast?

First posted August 23, 2020

Deterministic Weather Forecasting

In 2020, the global energy industry depends on high-quality weather forecasts for critical decision making like never before. Over recent decades the application of these forecasts has expanded exponentially due to the rapid growth of renewable energy and the liberalization of energy markets.

Short-range forecasts are now an essential tool in the real-time management of wind and solar assets, whilst medium-range forecasts play a crucial role in daily hedging activity. Even though modern computing power has brought huge improvements to forecast accuracy, there remains an inconvenient truth at the heart of traditional weather forecasting: there is still very little deterministic skill in the long term, generally considered a forecast beyond 12 days ahead. Enter the long-range forecast.

- click the link below to read the detailed / illustrated blog.

Dr. Jan F. Dutton - CEO, Prescient Weather Ltd

Dr. Jan F. Dutton

Dr. Jan F. Dutton

CEO, Prescient Weather Ltd

Jan is the creator of the World Climate Service seasonal/subseasonal forecast application and holds a PhD in Meteorology and an MBA from Penn State University in the United States.

His career spans over 20 years in the weather information industry.

View Contributor Profile Back To Main Content

You may also like

What next for Weather Forecasting?

WeatherPod Episode 24: WeatherPod meets Paul Davies, Chief Meteorologist and Principal Research Fellow of the UK Met Office

Guest: Paul Davies, Chief Meteorologist & Principal Research Fellow at the UK Met Office

Predicting the Uncertain World

WeatherPod Episode 23: Predicting the Uncertain World

Guest: Prof Tim Palmer, Research Scientist, University of Oxford